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Serving South Florida

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For over 35 years

Real Estate

Florida Is Not Headed For A Housing Crash

Florida is now America’s fast growing state. According to recent census data, the Sunshine State added over 400,000 additional people between July 2021 to July 2022. It was a growth of 1.9%, bringing the total population to 22,244,823. That makes it faster-growing than Texas, which has the second-largest population in the United States, trailing only California. Florida is a popular destination for retirees, second-home buyers, and investors which is driving up demand for housing.

Florida has consistently maintained one of the highest rates of job growth in the U.S., making it an appealing destination for those seeking employment opportunities and a vibrant lifestyle. This influx of residents contributes to the demand for housing in the state, stimulating the real estate market.

Key Market Indicators:

·      For Sale Inventory: As of December 31, 2023, there are 133,691 properties listed for sale, showcasing a diverse range of options for potential buyers.

·      New Listings: In the same period, 32,615 new listings have entered the market, providing fresh opportunities for those in pursuit of their dream homes.

·      Median Sale to List Ratio: The median sale to list ratio, a key metric indicating market competitiveness, stands at 0.977 as of November 30, 2023.

·      Percent of Sales Over List Price: Notably, 14.5% of sales in November 30, 2023, exceeded the list price, indicating a competitive environment.

·      Percent of Sales Under List Price: On the other hand, 67.9% of sales during the same period were below the list price, providing insights into negotiation dynamics.

Florida’s strong population growth, diverse job market, tourist attractions, affordable property prices, tax benefits, and diversified economy all contribute to making it a hot spot for real estate investment.

Termite Awareness Week- March 10-16, 2024

Florida is home to over twenty different species of termites with the most damaging and common species are subterranean and drywood termites. These termites cause billions of dollars of damage annually in the United States and correct termite identification is pivotal to successful prevention, control, and protection of your home.

Subterranean termites live and invade from underground, and a single colony can cover one acre underneath
homes. They typically live in dark, moist, hidden environments underground but will create and live in carton
nests aboveground. These can be found in walls and attics of structures and in nearby trees. To move above the
ground, these termites build mud tubes on foundations, walls, and nearby trees. These mud tubes are a sign
of termite activity and used for detection.

Drywood termites live and forage in dry wood. There are many different species of drywood termites in Florida,
and these are located throughout the state. They enter structures through swarming from infested trees, stored
wood, or other structures near your home. Unlike subterranean termites, drywood termite colonies grow
slowly and thus do not cause as much damage as subterranean termites. A tell-tale sign of drywood termites are
sawdust-like piles near the infestation, these piles are hexagonal shaped pellets or waste of the termite.

Actions you can take to keep air home termite free are:

  • Eliminate sources of standing water in or near the home.
  • Be wary of areas in the home where wood is in contact with soil.
  • Keep piles of lumber or firewood away from your home.
  • Regularly inspect your deck, patio, or outdoor furniture for signs of damage.
  • Remove decaying trees and branches from areas surrounding your yard.
  • Use pine needles, pea gravel, rubber, or other non-organic material as mulch.

Part of your Inspections before purchasing a home should include Wood Destroying Organisms ( WDO) Inspection. Unlike most states, the Florida Department of Agriculture and Consumer Services (FDACS) requires the licensed WDO Inspector to report on Wood Destroying Organisms.

The Department of Agriculture and Consumer Services recommends that you hire a licensed pest control company for correct termite identification and protection for your home. You can find out if a company is licensed in Florida at: https://www.fdacs.gov/Business-Services/Pest-Control. For more info and tips: https://www.fdacs.gov/Consumer-Resources/Health-and-Safety/Protect-Your-Home-from-Pests/Termites.

Benefits of Energy Efficient Homes

A recent survey from the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) found that energy-efficient features are among the most sought-after “must-haves” among homebuyers. Among those surveyed, 83% desired Energy Star-rated windows, 81% wanted Energy Star-rated appliances and 80% preferred energy-efficient lighting.

Though eco-conscious sensibilities compel millions of homeowners to make their homes more energy-efficient, that’s not the only reason to upgrade your home. The following are a handful of the many benefits of energy-efficient homes.

Save money: The U.S. Department of Energy indicates upgrading to energy efficient appliances products can help homeowners reduce their energy costs by as much as 30%. The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) estimates you can save 11% on average on your total energy costs by air sealing your home and adding insulation in the attic and crawl spaces.

Improve resale value: Being able to market your home as energy-efficient when it comes time to sell it may help your resale value, especially as energy-efficient homes become better-known and more in-demand.

According to several studies, energy-efficient homes and apartments garner anywhere from 2% to 8% more in sales prices than their traditional counterparts. Research from the mortgage lender Freddie Mac found that homes with energy-efficient ratings sold for nearly 3% more on average than homes without such ratings.

Live healthier: The benefits of energy-efficient homes aren’t just economic, though health-related benefits certainly produce an economic incentive as well.

Energy-efficient homes boost your comfort level by also enhancing the indoor air quality by reducing pollen, dust, insects, and humidity, which leads to better quality of life.

Energy-efficient appliances are typically quieter than traditional models, as well, making their operation less intrusive to your daily life.

To learn more and find out how to perform some of these improvements yourself, visit DOE’s Energy Saver website.

Tools and Calculators for Homes:

Information, tools, and resource to help consumers seal and insulate their homes, including a DIY Guide to Sealing and Insulating with ENERGY STAR.

Information, tools, and resources to help consumers assess their home’s energy use, including the ENERGY STAR Home Advisor and the ENERGY STAR Home Energy Yardstick.

List of building energy software packages, some of which are available for free or a small fee.

A tool that allows a consumer to determine energy savings and costs associated with replacing non-ENERGY STAR-rated refrigerators.

Information, tools, and resources to help consumers increase the efficiency of their home’s heating and cooling system.

A tool developed as an industry-consensus roof savings calculator for residential and commercial buildings using whole-building energy simulations.

Home Buying Strategies for 2024

For now, economic signals suggest more positive news for buyers in 2024 though no experts are forecasting a return to 3% rates anytime soon. More likely, we will see the 30-year mortgage rate decline closer to 6% according to forecasts from the Mortgage Bankers Association and the National Association of Realtors.

Mortgage rates and housing prices are both high while the housing supply is running low. The current market has a 3.6-month supply of unsold home inventory. A balanced market has a supply of five to six months. Despite larger shortages, 92% of markets have seen modest inventory growth over the last three months, according to a November 2023 report from ICE Mortgage Technology.

Until supply catches up to demand, prices are unlikely to fall. Realtor.com estimates prices will fall less than 2% next year and that is a nationwide forecast. Prices in the South are not expected to fall with over 2000 people a month moving to Florida.

More than one in four homes are still selling for above list price, according to October 2023 data from the NAR: 28% of homes sold for above list price that month. Homes for sale spent a median of 23 days on the market and saw an average of 2.5 offers, a sign that competition remains tough.

Don’t let high rates keep you on the sidelines for too long. When rates go down, competition goes up — another reason there’s no time like the present to start house hunting.

How do you compete in this market?

1.    Adjust your criteria and expectations. No one gets 100% of what they want in a home. Decide the features that are your top priority and compromise on the rest. Plan on adding or changing features you can control in the future and shop for those you cannot such as location, community amenities, school districts, and more.

2.    Consider the option to refinance in the future if rates do fall significantly. Nothing in the economy is suggesting that this will happen anytime soon. Waiting around for rates to drop only means that there will be more competition for the homes you can afford while home prices continue to rise. Consider getting into a home that you can afford and leave open the option to refinance in the future to ease your monthly expenditures and invest in home improvements. Should rates not fall, then you are already building equity and are way ahead of where you would be if you waited.

3.    Consider new construction, some developers are offering below market mortgage rates if you use their financing company and often include incentives towards closing costs. You start off with a brand-new roof, appliances, a home warranty, and more so the future expenditures you need for a resale can be applied to your down payment or décor.

2024 Real Estate Forecast

2024 Real Estate Forecast

NAR economist Yun predicts home sales will begin to rise next year – by 13.5% compared to 2023, and the median home price will reach $389,500 – an increase of 0.9% from this year. “Metro markets in southern states will likely outperform others due to faster job increases, while markets in the Midwest will experience gains from being in the most affordable region.”

Yun expects rent prices to calm down further in 2024, which will hold down the consumer price index. He predicts foreclosure rates will stay at historically low levels in 2024, comprising less than 1% of all mortgages.

Yun forecasts the U.S. GDP will grow by 1.5%, avoiding a recession, with net new job additions slowing to 1.7 million in 2024 compared to 2.7 million in 2023, and 4.8 million in 2022. After eclipsing 8% in late 2023, he expects the 30-year fixed mortgage rate to average 6.3% and for the Fed to cut rates four times – calming inflationary conditions – in response to slower economic activity.

Yun also foresees 1.48 million housing starts in 2024, including 1.04 million single-family and 440,000 multifamily.

Florida is home to over 22+ million people—a number that is growing every day. In fact, Florida is the fastest-growing state in the country, adding an average of 1,000 people per day. These new residents are congregated in just a handful of counties. According to an analysis by the Tampa Bay Times, a third of Florida’s new residents wound up in just five counties: Orange, Hillsborough, Lee, Polk, and Palm Beach. These five counties are all located in the state’s southeastern region, known for its warm weather and beaches.

Florida’s growth is largely fueled by migration. Over the last two years, 616,000 new residents have come to Florida from other parts of the country, and 175,000 from other countries. In fact, without migration, Florida would not have grown at all. Its 567,881 deaths exceeded its 478,834 births. And according to projections, by 2030 Florida will have more than 25 million residents.

Florida’s statistics will be greatly influenced by available inventory for sale. The South Florida real estate market still has a significant shortfall or inventory relative the the migration to the area and demand for housing.  Southeast Florida’s housing market is poised for a rebound in sales and sustained price appreciation in 2024.

Should You Buy A House Now Or Wait Until 2024?

Many prospective homebuyers have been left wondering when the time will be right for them to enter the housing market. The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate hit 8% this week, the highest level since 2000 but a very moderate rate to the 16.5% I paid for my first home in 1980.
Daryl Fairweather, Redfin’s chief economist, said waiting for rates to fall before entering the housing market could be a mistake. “The second that happens, buyers will rush back into the market, and we will see a return of bidding wars,” she said.
For homebuyers who are financially prepared to buy a home, locking in a high interest rate now — and refinancing at a lower rate down the road — could be a wise move, Lawrence Yun, stated chief economist at the National Association of Realtors.
Over the next 12 to 18 months, Yun expects mortgage rates to fall from the near-8% they’re at now to below 7%, perhaps even close to 6%, he said. Remember, the real estate adage of  ‘Marry the house and date the rate.’ To put it another way, you can always refinance later. I always advise my buyers to plan on staying in the home for five or more years if you plan on owning a home. If your short term situation involves  moving, then perhaps it is best to rent for the time being.
Many factors will change rates in the future and the housing market is directly influenced by mortgage rates. Many of these factors are unknown at this time. Inflation, world unrest and economic conditions, GDP, and more.
The volume of existing home sales was down more than 15 percent from August 2022 to August of this year, according to the National Association of Realtors.  However in South Florida though the volume of sales where down homes prices have continued to increase month to month due to a lack of inventory with both resale and new construction.
Cash Buyers should get into the market sooner than later since there are no forecasts that predict that home prices will be lower in South Florida in 2024, just the opposite.
No matter which way the real estate market is leaning, though, buying now means you can start building equity immediately. It also means avoiding the potential for additional mortgage rate increases later.
The decision to buy a house in 2023 or wait till 2024 is multifaceted, depending on market conditions, economic forecasts, personal finances, and lifestyle factors. While it’s essential to consider all these elements, remember that a home is not just an investment—it’s a place to live, grow, and create memories. Whether you choose to buy now or wait, ensure it aligns with both your financial goals and personal needs.

Government Shutdown’s Effect on Real Estate Market

While a government shutdown won’t stop people from buying and selling homes, the ripple effects across the economy could be disruptive, especially if it drags on.

Some expect to see delays around mortgage loans, particularly if the shutdown isn’t resolved quickly. Zillow estimates around 2,500 originated loans would be delayed per working day. Homebuyers applying for a government-backed mortgage from the Federal Housing Administration would face processing delays.

A government shutdown could also delay mortgage loan approval for other reasons. In areas where flood insurance is required, for example, buyers could be stalled if the National Flood Insurance Program were to pause operations.

  • Delayed Loan Processing- Some federal agencies, such as the Federal Housing Administration (FHA), may operate with reduced staffing or close entirely. This can lead to delays in loan approvals and processing, affecting both homebuyers and sellers. It’s essential to inform your clients about the possibility of extended timelines.
  • Verification and Documentation- Many mortgage applications require verification of income, tax returns, and other documentation from government agencies. If these agencies are affected by a shutdown, obtaining necessary documents may become more challenging, further slowing down the mortgage approval process.
  • National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP)– The NFIP is vital for many homeowners in flood-prone areas, as lenders often require flood insurance for mortgage approval. A government shutdown could impact the availability of NFIP policies and affect property transactions in flood-prone regions.
  • IRS and Tax TranscriptsThe Internal Revenue Service (IRS) provides tax transcripts required for mortgage applications. The IRS would remain funded through the Inflation Reduction Act, but obtaining these transcripts may become difficult, potentially leading to delays in loan processing and closing.
  • Appraisals and Inspections- Government shutdowns may disrupt the scheduling of appraisals and inspections, as federal agencies oversee certain aspects of these processes. Delays in these areas can lead to extended closing times and may affect contract deadlines.
  • Market Uncertainty- A prolonged government shutdown can create uncertainty in the real estate market, causing some buyers and sellers to delay their transactions until stability is restored. This could result in slower market activity and potential fluctuations in home prices.
  • Economic Confidence- Government shutdowns can erode consumer and investor confidence in the economy. If potential buyers and investors become hesitant due to political uncertainty, it may impact the overall demand and stability of the real estate market.

Tips to Reduce Home Insurance Costs in South Florida?

Homeowner's Insurance
Are you a home buyer in Florida looking to save money on your insurance costs? Here are some expert tips to help you reduce your home and wind insurance expenses.
Shop Around: Don’t settle for the first insurance quote you receive. Take the time to compare prices from multiple insurers. By doing so, you can find the best coverage at the most competitive rates.
Increase Deductibles: Consider raising your deductibles to lower your premium. While this means you’ll pay more out of pocket in the event of a claim, it can significantly reduce your monthly insurance costs. Make sure you take on a deductible that won’t leave you financially overwhelmed when you need to make a major claim.
Improve Home Security: Installing security measures such as alarms, deadbolts, and smoke detectors can make your home safer and lower your insurance premiums. Insurers often offer discounts for homes with enhanced security features.
Bundle Policies: If you have multiple insurance needs, consider bundling your auto, umbrella, home and wind insurance with the same provider. This can lead to substantial savings on your premiums.
Maintain a Good Credit Score: Believe it or not, your credit score can affect your insurance rates. Pay your bills on time, keep your credit utilization low, and regularly check your credit report for errors to maintain a good credit score and potentially lower your insurance costs.
Consider Wind Mitigation Measures: Living in Florida means being prepared for hurricanes. By fortifying your home against wind damage with measures like impact-resistant windows and reinforced roof trusses, you can qualify for wind mitigation discounts.
Avoid Making Small Claims: While insurance is designed to protect you from significant financial losses, making multiple small claims can lead to higher premiums. Consider handling minor repairs out of pocket to avoid impacting your insurance rates.
Look for Discounts: t’s easy to miss a discount you’re eligible for. Homeowners often have the stress of the home-buying process in the background when they get coverage, meaning insurance could be one thing hurriedly checked off the list. You can qualify for discounts if you:
  • Have a residence with no smokers
  • Pay your premium upfront
  • Pick paperless billing
  • Sign up for automatic payments
Remember, every insurance policy is unique, so it’s essential to speak with a qualified insurance agent to find the best ways to lower your home and wind insurance costs in Florida. Don’t let high premiums take away from the joy of homeownership – take action today and start saving!

Why Use an Exclusive Buyer’s Agent for New Home Construction?

New Home construction

Because the builder’s agent’s job is to convince you to buy only their homes at the highest price. Your Exclusive Buyer Agent’s job is to even the odds and negotiate for the lowest price and best terms for YOU!

If you’re building what you buy, you might think, “Why would I need an agent?” However, new construction is a complicated and expensive process. The advantages are many; aside from the obvious ones. The fact that having buyer agent representation is often FREE cannot be repeated often enough. So too, should the misconception that not using a buyer’s agent will save money be constantly repeated – that simply doesn’t happen.

A seasoned agent with experience in new home construction can give you invaluable insight during the process. Whether they’ve done business with those particular builders, or are aware of other comparable communities in the area, they can provide a wider context to your transaction. They might have an existing relationship with your builder, easing any tensions that might arise.

Remember that that site agent represents the builder/developer. Most real estate agents are sub-agents of the Seller or Transactional agent. In neither case do they have a fiduciary responsibility to the Buyer.

The site agent is an employee of the builder and is obligated  to represent the best interests of the builder, not the homebuyer. They are expected to work to secure the builder the best deal.

The further you get into the home shopping process, the more challenging it becomes to bring in an agent. In fact, if you’ve already registered with a community, it might be too late.

Benefits of Using an Exclusive Buyer Agent for New Home Construction:

  • Compare and evaluate builders’ reputations and history of their construction quality and service.
  • Help you compare and evaluate advantages and disadvantages of new construction homes vs. resale homes.
  • Provide information about the community.
  • Help buyer with evaluation and selection of a building lot and options. Lot location and certain options have a very real bearing on resale value.
  • Help buyer evaluate which options should be done by the developer during construction and which are more affordable to be done by an outside vendor post closing.
  • Truly negotiate on behalf of the buyer. Many builders are offering “free” options and upgrades, but some are also making additional price concessions.
  • Review the Agreement of Sale (PA) prior to buyer signing. This is not a legal review (only an attorney can do that), but an experienced agent will be able to spot terms and conditions that are atypical and of potential concern to the buyer. The agent may then be able to negotiate terms and conditions that are more favorable to the buyer but still acceptable to the builder. Keep in mind most new construction contracts are written by attorneys that represent the builder and these contracts are therefore heavily weighted in favor of the builder.
  • Recommend a real estate attorney for final contract, title commitment and to hold your escrow funds.
  • A buyer’s agent serves as an extra set of ears as a witness at court or arbitration– When the builders sales representative is familiar with all rules, features and prices and it’s all new to buyer – it is good to have experienced person on buyer’s side listening with buyer and taking notes, a lot of information is verbalized in short period of time.
  • Attend the signing of the Agreement of Sale
  • Assist with the buyer’s financing and review financing paperwork. This is especially important if the builder is tying “free” options and upgrades to the use of a builder-affiliated lender.
  • Check on the property during construction and keep a photo record at different stages.
  • Assist in options selections to optimize budget and maximize resale.
  • Be your leverage with the builder as problems arise during construction.
  • Keep everything in writing– Sometimes even the very nicest builder makes verbal promises that later become a point of contention. An experienced buyer’s agent is conditioned and trained to “put it in writing” even though at the time it doesn’t seem necessary.
  • Arrange for a final inspection with a license building inspector and generate a “punch list” to be completed before final closing.
  • Document and help resolve any issues with construction, financing, title, etc. throughout the process.
  • Attend a pre-settlement walkthrough with the buyer to make sure that all items are satisfactorily completed or that a proper punch list is established to assure completion after settlement.
  • Obtain and review a preliminary HUD-1 settlement statement to be sure it is accurate and advise the buyer of the amount needed for settlement.
  • Assist buyer with utilities, security and HOA requirements, decorators, service professionals, schools, et. al.
  • Attend settlement with the buyer.
  • A buyer’s agent will be there even after the home closes. It is routine for issues to arise during the first year of a new home. Site agents tend to forget a buyer’s name after the contract is signed.
  • NO ADDITIONAL COST TO YOU!

Read My Reviews from New Home Construction Clients!

2023 Florida Jumbo Loan Limits

A jumbo loan is a type of mortgage loan that’s used to finance loans that exceed the conforming loan limit. In the United States, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) sets loan limits for conforming loans each year.

If the home you’re purchasing will require you to borrow more than the conforming loan limit (CLL), you’ll need to apply for a jumbo loan. But because of the larger loan amounts and increased risk for lenders, Florida jumbo loans often come with higher interest rates and stricter requirements than conventional loans.
In 2023, the conforming loan limit for most U.S. real estate markets is $726,200. However, the jumbo loan limit in Florida depends on what county you’re planning to buy a home in.
·      $726,200 is the conforming loan limit in most Florida counties.
·      $874,000 is the maximum limit in Monroe County
The amount being borrowed is what determines whether you will need a jumbo loan, not the price of the home.
The requirements for a jumbo loan are much more stringent than a conforming loan. Each lender may have different requirements or processes, but below are the typical requirements for borrowers seeking a jumbo loan.
Higher credit score: When it comes to obtaining a jumbo loan, credit score requirements are typically stricter than for conventional mortgages. While some lenders may be willing to accept a lower score, a credit score of at least 720 is generally required to qualify for a jumbo loan.
Larger down payment: When applying for a jumbo loan, keep in mind that down payment requirements are generally more substantial than for traditional mortgages. While the specific amount will depend on the lender and the borrower’s financial situation, many jumbo loan lenders require a down payment of at least 10%, and some require as much as 20% or more.
More assets: During the asset review process, lenders typically request that jumbo loan borrowers provide evidence of sufficient liquid assets or savings to cover the equivalent of one year’s worth of loan payments.
Lower debt-to-income ratio (DTI): Whether you’re applying for a traditional mortgage or a jumbo loan in Florida, lenders evaluate your spending habits and creditworthiness by analyzing your debt-to income ratio ( DTI) The DTI is determined by dividing the total of your monthly debt payments by your gross monthly income. While some lenders may accept a DTI as high as 50% for a conforming loan, those applying for a jumbo loan should aim for a DTI under 43% and ideally closer to 36%.
Additional home appraisals: For a jumbo loan, lenders may require an additional home appraisal to ensure that the property’s value is accurate. This is particularly true in places where there are few comparable home sales. The additional appraisal acts as a second opinion and helps the lender to mitigate their risk. It’s important to note that the cost of a second appraisal may be higher than a typical home appraisal, particularly in areas with fewer sales.